Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 1.796407 2.053907 2.336766 2.670779 3.054760 3.482760 3.996574
2025-08-24 1.426164 1.762921 2.163635 2.676589 3.317293 4.093131 5.106939
2025-08-31 1.154335 1.523265 1.992748 2.636165 3.498551 4.619459 6.195080
2025-09-07 1.018285 1.422745 1.968638 2.763140 3.896670 5.465850 7.820572
2025-09-14 0.895599 1.315638 1.912652 2.828965 4.210779 6.234163 9.453582
2025-09-21 0.779035 1.196354 1.817366 2.816741 4.400438 6.839434 10.930818
2025-09-28 0.663721 1.060363 1.675272 2.707697 4.418322 7.175397 12.027185
2025-10-05 0.618492 1.026044 1.683057 2.831933 4.818822 8.164779 14.332323
2025-10-12 0.582244 1.000400 1.699537 2.969469 5.255827 9.268465 16.996326
2025-10-19 0.537858 0.954472 1.674844 3.030207 5.563106 10.182570 19.450792
2025-10-26 0.497710 0.910398 1.646875 3.079247 5.852065 11.096557 22.036274
2025-11-02 0.444938 0.836674 1.556215 2.998789 5.883167 11.524527 23.722549
2025-11-09 0.388554 0.750752 1.435179 2.849060 5.767921 11.669395 24.893746
2025-11-16 0.354741 0.704313 1.383938 2.830813 5.915612 12.365286 27.350698
2025-11-23 0.320970 0.653882 1.318812 2.775495 5.978034 12.891775 29.522054
2025-11-30 0.309028 0.646433 1.339299 2.902663 6.450592 14.368439 34.112870
2025-12-07 0.292285 0.626834 1.332053 2.968321 6.795075 15.608615 38.354173
2025-12-14 0.270362 0.593456 1.291377 2.953587 6.952264 16.438787 41.726694
2025-12-21 0.242909 0.544705 1.211442 2.838089 6.854528 16.648144 43.550816
2025-12-28 0.236154 0.541961 1.234245 2.968047 7.372391 18.438389 49.852841
2026-01-04 0.230564 0.541227 1.261474 3.112193 7.946430 20.455697 57.138547
2026-01-11 0.220057 0.527597 1.256698 3.175823 8.321840 22.012621 63.409857
2026-01-18 0.209605 0.512904 1.247639 3.227239 8.672183 23.554629 69.920637